Better News For Atlantic Hurricane Region Homeowners: Forecasters Downgrade Hurricane Season Threats
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August 25, 2006 | By: 
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According to the recent announcement by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), researchers have reduced the number of likely hurricanes to seven from nine, and intense hurricanes to three from five. At the same time, the same researchers also warn that there is, however, a considerably higher-than-average probability of at least one intense hurricane making landfall in the United States this year, 73 percent. The average is 52 percent.
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Colorado State University Researcher, William Gray states: “Atlantic Ocean surface temperatures are not quite as warm and surface pressure is not quite as low, both factors in the decision to revise the forecast.” Incidentally, Gray and his team say hurricane activity will continue to be above average for another 15 to 20 years. The National Hurricane Center in Miami in May predicted 16 named storms in the Atlantic, six of them major hurricanes. As of last Thursday, there have been three named storms. On average, there are 9.6 named storms, 5.9 hurricanes and 2.3 intense hurricanes per year. For Florida and the East Coast, the probability of a storm landfall is 64 percent, compared with a long-term average of 31 percent.
InsWeb (5/30/06) Blog Post: 2006 Hurricane Season Alert: 4 to 6 Major Hurricanes Predicted
http://blog.insweb.com/2006/05/2006_hurricane_season_alert_4_1.html
National Hurricane Center Forecast: http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/outlooks/hurricane.shtml
InsWeb Homeowners Insurance Learning Center
http://www.insweb.com/learningcenter/home-default.htm
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